Is HD's earnings consistency a sign of strength?
4/3/2025 07:30pm
**Home Depot's (HD) earnings consistency is not a sign of strength** when considering the following points:
1. **Growth Rates**: The company's net income has shown a decline of 6.96% over the last three years, while revenue has grown by only 0.67%. This indicates a challenging period for Home Depot, with net income decreasing and revenue growth slowing down.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income (FY) YoY|Net Income (FY)|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2021|14.44582814445828|1.2866E10|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2022|27.724234416291|1.6433E10|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2023|4.089332440820301|1.7105E10|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2024|-11.470330312774042|1.5143E10|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2025|-2.2254507032952517|1.4806E10|169|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue (FY)|Total Revenue (FY) YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2021|1.3211E11|19.854842367883872|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2022|1.51157E11|14.417530845507532|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2023|1.57403E11|4.132127523038959|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2024|1.52669E11|-3.007566564804991|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|2025|1.59514E11|4.483555928184503|169|
2. **Financial Ratios**: The P/E ratio stands at 24.9, which is relatively high, suggesting that the stock may be overvalued by the market. The P/B ratio is 55.52, indicating that the market is currently valuing the company's equity at a significant premium compared to its book value. The P/S ratio of 2.31 suggests that the company's current sales are not supporting the high valuation multiples.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|P/E(TTM)|P/S|Price to Book Ratio|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240403|23.553582|0|341.6397454264367|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240404|23.408294|0|339.5323816174713|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240405|23.420729|0|339.7127415831035|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240408|23.694288|0|343.68066082701154|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240409|23.653058|0|343.0826251514943|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240410|22.942327|0|332.7736292211494|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240411|22.733558|0|329.74548032448274|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240412|22.439057|0|325.47379692793106|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240415|22.115759|0|320.7844378214943|169|
|HD|HD.N|The Home Depot|20240416|21.912881|0|317.8417225927586|169|
3. **Recent Performance**: The stock has experienced a decline of 5.95% over the past month, which is worse than the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 7.71%. This indicates that Home Depot's stock performance is under pressure, which could be a reflection of market concerns about its financial health or future growth prospects.
4. **Analyst Sentiments**: The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 0.67% lower within the past month, suggesting that analysts are adjusting their earnings expectations downward, which could be a sign of weakening confidence in the company's future performance.
5. **Institutional Activity**: There have been recent changes in institutional holdings, with Summit Securities Group LLC buying a new stake and Cornercap Investment Counsel Inc. reducing its holdings. These changes in institutional positions do not provide a clear indication of strength, as the actions of these investors can be influenced by various factors, including market conditions and their own investment strategies.
In conclusion, Home Depot's earnings consistency, when coupled with declining net income growth, high valuation ratios, recent stock price declines, and adjustments in analyst estimates, does not signify strength. Instead, it points to challenges and uncertainties that the company is facing.