Give predictions price for ltrx
8/11/2025 04:48pm
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle the user's question about predicting the price for LTRX. First, I need to gather all the relevant data from the provided references. The user is interested in price predictions, so I'll focus on the sections that provide forecasts, analyst targets, and technical analysis.
Starting with the earnings release date, the user might be looking for upcoming events that could impact the stock price. The earnings are set for September 4, 2025 . That's a key date to note because earnings can cause significant price movements.
Next, looking at the time-series price trend forecast , the current trend is bearish for 10 days. The continuation probability is 57%, which is moderately high. The conditioned trend shows a clear trend for 4 days and unclear for 6 days. The unconditioned trend has a 70% probability over 10 days and 50% over 12 days. This suggests some uncertainty but a slight bias towards continuation of the current trend.
The support and resistance levels indicate a swing trend with the current price between narrow and wide support levels. The forecast is bullish with a buy advice, and the stock's historical win rate is slightly higher than the market average. This is a positive sign, but the current price is near the support, so a breakout could be crucial.
The trend similarity-based price forecast provides specific price targets for each date up to September 9, 2025. The mean forecast price ranges from $2.95 to $3.24, with confidence intervals. The expected max gain is 45.09%, which is substantial, but the max loss is -26.67%, showing high volatility. The bullish trend forecast aligns with the support/resistance analysis.
Analyst data from shows an average price target of $3.83 with a Strong Buy consensus. However, another source mentions a lower target of $3.00 and a Hold rating, which is conflicting. The user's profile mentions a focus on high growth and speculative stocks, so the higher target of $4.88 from might be more appealing, but the recent downgrade to $3.00 could indicate caution.
The recent news about the NTC-500 Series launch and participation in a tech forum suggests positive developments that could boost the stock. However, the financial health shows losses and high debt, which might be a concern for short-term traders.
Considering the user's investment style—speculative, swing trading, high growth—the bullish technical indicators and analyst targets above the current price ($2.99) are attractive. The upcoming earnings could be a catalyst. However, the bearish trend and high volatility mean there's significant risk. The user's high risk tolerance might find this appealing, but the need for a 100% gain within a year is ambitious given the current targets.
I need to structure the answer with a clear conclusion first, then break down the analysis into sections: Technical Analysis, Analyst Consensus, Market Catalysts, and Risk Factors. Use tables for clarity and include the required visualizations for the queries mentioned. Make sure to cite all sources properly and avoid any unsupported claims. Also, keep the language engaging with emojis to match the user's preference for a dynamic response.
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### 🌟 **Conclusion**
Lantronix (LTRX) presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity with mixed signals from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, and market catalysts. The stock is positioned for potential upside driven by upcoming earnings, product launches, and bullish technical setups, but caution is warranted due to high volatility and debt concerns.
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### 📊 **Key Predictions & Analysis**
#### 1. **Technical Analysis**
- **Current Trend**: Bearish (10-day duration) with a 57% continuation probability .
- **Support/Resistance**: Price swings between $2.90–$3.33, with a bullish breakout potential above $3.22 .
- **Price Forecast**: Mean target of $2.95–$3.24 for the next 30 days, with a 45.09% upside potential .
| Metric | Value | Implication |
|----------------------------|---------------------------|--------------------------------------|
| Expected Max Gain | 45.09% | High upside if bullish trend holds |
| Expected Max Loss | -26.67% | Significant risk of downside |
| Trend Forecast | Bullish | Breakout above $3.22 critical level |
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Closing Price|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|LTRX|LTRX.O|Lantronix|20250811|2.99|186|
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#### 2. **Analyst Consensus**
- **Average Price Target**: $3.83 (Strong Buy consensus) .
- **Conflicting Views**: Recent downgrade to $3.00 (Hold) vs. long-term upside of $4.88 (61.59% potential) .
| Analyst Firm | Price Target | Upside Potential | Rating |
|--------------------|--------------|-------------------|-------------|
| TipRanks | $3.83 | 28.1% | Strong Buy |
| Canaccord | $3.00 | 0.66% | Hold |
| Needham | $4.50 | 49.01% | Buy |
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#### 3. **Market Catalysts**
- **Earnings Date**: September 4, 2025 . Analysts expect revenue growth but warn of continued losses .
- **Product Launch**: NTC-500 Series 5G routers (July 2025) targeting industrial IoT markets .
- **Strategic Moves**: Board appointments and tech forums (KeyBanc Capital Markets) .
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#### 4. **Risks & Concerns**
- **Financial Health**: GAAP net loss of $3.87M, 7.05x debt-to-EBITDA ratio .
- **Competition**: Pressure from Cisco, Siemens, and Digi International .
- **Market Sentiment**: Mixed news flow (bullish product launches vs. bearish technicals) .
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### 🎯 **Final Take**
LTRX aligns with your speculative, high-growth profile but requires careful risk management. The stock could surge to $4.88 (61.59% upside) if bullish technicals and product adoption materialize, but a 26.67% loss is also possible. Swing traders should monitor the $3.22 breakout level and earnings reaction closely.
**Final Price Prediction Range**: $2.95–$3.24 (short-term) | $3.83–$4.88 (long-term) 🚀