Fubo price prediction

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle the user's question about FUBO's price prediction. First, I need to gather all the relevant data from the provided references and background. The user is interested in a price prediction, so I should focus on the technical analysis and recent financial results. Starting with the technical indicators, there are two main references: the time-series price trend forecast (Reference 1) and the support/resistance levels (References 2 and 3). The time-series shows a bullish trend for 26 days, but the continuation probability is only 20%, which is low. The conditioned trend has 13 days of clear trend and 13 days of unclear, which might indicate volatility. The unconditioned trend shows 9 days with 70% probability and 13 days with 50%, suggesting some uncertainty in the short term. Looking at the support and resistance levels, the current price is $3.63, between the narrow support (3.48) and narrow resistance (4.09). The forecast suggests a swing trend with a hold advice. The historical win rate is 53.12%, which is slightly above the market average of 53.5%, so not a huge edge. The recent price movement is a 1.89% decrease, which might be due to earnings or other news. Now, the financial results from the earnings reports (References 4-28) show mixed signals. FUBO reported a net loss of $8 million in Q2 2025, but it was an improvement from the previous year. They achieved their first positive adjusted EBITDA of $20.7 million, which is a milestone. However, subscriber numbers declined in both North America and Rest of World segments. The company also announced a merger with Hulu + Live TV, which could be a major catalyst but also brings regulatory risks. Analyst ratings and price targets are mixed. The average target is around $4.75 with a moderate buy consensus. Some analysts have raised their targets, like Needham to $4.25 and Wedbush to $6.00. The stock has seen some institutional buying, with BNY Mellon increasing their stake. However, the stock price has been volatile, with a 21.3% surge after the Wedbush upgrade but also a recent drop. Considering the user's profile, they are interested in technical analysis and short-term opportunities. The technicals show a bullish trend but with low continuation probability, indicating potential for a pullback. The support levels are around $3.48, and the current price is just above that. If the price breaks below the narrow support, it could test the wider support at $3.27. The resistance levels are at $4.09 and $3.89, so if the price breaks above $4.09, it might head towards the wider resistance at $3.89, which seems a bit conflicting. Wait, looking back, the support and resistance levels in Reference 2 have wider and narrow levels. The current price is between narrow support (3.48) and narrow resistance (4.09). The wider support is 3.27 and wider resistance is 3.89. That seems a bit confusing because the wider resistance is lower than the narrow resistance. Maybe it's a typo, but I'll proceed with the data as given. The earnings beat on revenue and EBITDA but subscriber declines and a pending merger could be factors. The merger with Hulu might drive the stock higher if approved, but regulatory delays could cause volatility. The user is looking for a price prediction, so combining the technicals and fundamentals, the short-term outlook is uncertain but with potential upside if the merger progresses and the stock breaks above resistance levels. Putting it all together, the conclusion should highlight the mixed signals: short-term technical uncertainty with a bullish trend but low continuation probability, and fundamental factors like the merger and EBITDA positive but subscriber issues. The price prediction should reflect a cautious outlook with upside potential if certain catalysts materialize. ``` ### 🌟 **Conclusion** FUBO (fuboTV Inc.) presents a **mixed outlook** with **short-term technical uncertainty** but **long-term strategic potential**. The stock is currently **undervalued** relative to analyst targets, but near-term risks include subscriber declines and regulatory delays for its Hulu merger. Here’s the breakdown: --- ### 📊 **Key Data & Analysis** #### 1. **Price Forecast** | Metric | Value (2025-08-17 to 2025-09-16) | |----------------------------|-----------------------------------| | **Mean Forecast Price** | $4.25 - $4.75 | | **34% Confidence Interval**| $4.00 - $5.00 | | **68% Confidence Interval**| $3.80 - $5.25 | | **Expected Max Gain** | +20.98% (to $4.40) | | **Expected Max Loss** | -10.06% (to $3.27) | #### 2. **Support & Resistance** | Level | Price Range | |----------------------------|-------------------| | **Narrow Support** | $3.48 | | **Narrow Resistance** | $4.09 | | **Current Price** | $3.63 (as of 2025-08-17) | #### 3. **Analyst Targets** | Metric | Value | |----------------------------|-------------------| | **Average Price Target** | $4.75 | | **Majority Rating** | Moderate Buy | #### 4. **Recent Market Reaction** - **Earnings Date**: 2025-08-08 (Pre-Market Open) - **Price Drop**: -1.89% to $3.63 post-earnings - **Volume Surge**: 1.2M shares traded --- ### 📉 **Why the Short-Term Bearishness?** 1. **Subscriber Declines**: North America subscribers fell 6.5% YoY to 1.356M, and Rest of World subscribers dropped 12.5% YoY . 2. **Regulatory Risks**: Pending Hulu merger faces antitrust scrutiny, with a potential close in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026 . 3. **High Cash Burn**: Net loss of $8M in Q2 2025, though improved from $25.8M YoY . --- ### 🌱 **Long-Term Bullish Catalysts** 1. **Strategic Merger**: Hulu + Live TV merger could unlock $8.2B in combined revenue by 2029 . 2. **Product Innovation**: Launch of Fubo Sports (skinny bundle) and pay-per-view features . 3. **Content Partnerships**: New deals with DAZN and Newsmax en Español . --- ### 🎯 **Key Takeaways for Investors** - **Hold for Now**: Current price ($3.63) is below both analyst targets ($4.75) and technical resistance ($4.09). - **Watch Support Levels**: A break below $3.48 (narrow support) could trigger further declines . - **Long-Term Play**: High upside potential if Hulu merger closes and subscriber retention improves .