is demand for dragonfly iv rising? is nndm business growing? could it beat earnings august 25 q2? how much could its stock grow post earnings?
8/26/2025 02:41am
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The deep research logic is organized as follows:
Okay, let's tackle this question. The user is asking about Dragonfly Energy (DFLI) and Nano Dimension (NNDM), specifically if their demand is rising, if NNDM's business is growing, and if they can beat earnings on August 25th. Also, how much could their stocks grow post-earnings.
First, I need to check the references provided. For Dragonfly Energy, the latest Q2 2025 results show a 23% YoY revenue increase, driven by a 50.6% surge in OEM sales. That's a strong indicator of rising demand, especially in the OEM segment. They also expanded their partnership with Airstream, which should boost recurring revenue. However, DTC sales declined, so there's a mixed picture there. The net loss narrowed, which is positive, but they're still unprofitable. The stock had a significant surge in July, which might indicate market confidence.
For Nano Dimension (NNDM), the references mention a strategic exit from Desktop Metal through bankruptcy, which could be a risk. They adopted GAAP accounting, which was seen positively by the market. However, their Q2 2025 earnings preview didn't find any results, and the user's query about their Q2 earnings actual vs estimates also came up empty. That's a red flag because without earnings data, it's hard to assess their growth. Recent news about board changes and proxy advisory support suggests governance issues, which might affect investor sentiment. The stock didn't perform well in the user's query, so there's uncertainty about their business growth.
The user is interested in NASDAQ stocks, so both DFLI and NNDM fit that. They use technical analysis, so the stock movements and market reactions are important. The user's short to medium-term horizon means we should focus on near-term catalysts like earnings reports.
For Dragonfly, the upcoming Q2 earnings (already reported on August 14) showed strong numbers, but the user is asking about August 25. Wait, the current time is August 25, so maybe the user is referring to a different date? Or perhaps a typo. The Dragonfly earnings were already released, so the focus should be on their recent performance and future guidance. The stock surged in July, which might indicate positive sentiment, but the Q2 results were mixed with a net loss. The partnership with Airstream could drive future growth, but the stock might face volatility due to the unprofitable status.
Nano Dimension's Q2 earnings are unclear. The user's query didn't find any results, so there's no data to compare against estimates. The strategic exit from Desktop Metal and GAAP adoption are positives, but the lack of earnings data and ongoing governance issues could weigh on the stock. The user might be concerned about whether NNDM can deliver on their growth projections without clear financials.
Putting it all together, Dragonfly has shown strong demand in the OEM segment and strategic partnerships, which could drive future growth. However, the stock's volatility and unprofitability are risks. Nano Dimension's uncertain earnings and governance issues make it a speculative play. The user should be cautious with both, but Dragonfly might have more near-term catalysts with their partnerships and upcoming product launches.
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### 🚨 **Conclusion** 🚨
**Dragonfly Energy (DFLI)** shows **rising demand** in its OEM segment (+50.6% YoY in Q2 2025) and **strategic partnerships** (e.g., Airstream), but faces **DTC sales decline** (-9% YoY) and **unprofitability** (net loss of $7M). **Nano Dimension (NNDM)** lacks clarity on Q2 2025 earnings (no data found) and faces **governance risks** (proxy advisory firms oppose board changes). **DFLI** has a **higher likelihood of beating earnings** due to its **OEM-driven growth** and **recent stock surge** (+95.12% in 1 day in July 2025), while **NNDM** remains **uncertain** due to **lack of financial data** and **strategic missteps** (e.g., Desktop Metal bankruptcy).
---
### 📊 **Analysis** 📊
#### **1. Dragonfly Energy (DFLI): Demand & Growth**
| Metric | Q2 2025 Results | Key Takeaways |
|----------------------------|-----------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| **Total Revenue** | $16.2M (+23% YoY) | Strong growth driven by **OEM sales** (+50.6% YoY to $10.1M) |
| **OEM Sales** | $10.1M (62% of total revenue) | **Airstream partnership** secures recurring revenue in premium RV market |
| **DTC Sales** | $5.9M (-9% YoY) | Decline due to **macroeconomic uncertainty** and **competition** |
| **Net Loss** | $7.0M (-48.5% YoY) | Narrowing loss reflects **operational efficiency** (gross margin +430bps to 28.3%) |
| **Stock Performance** | +95.12% (1-day surge in July 2025) | **Market confidence** in strategic pivot to OEM and partnerships |
**Key Catalysts**:
- **Airstream Partnership** : Dragonfly’s Battle Born Batteries now standard in Airstream’s RVs, with **cold-weather tech** and **solar compatibility**.
- **Heavy-Duty Trucking Pilots** : Testing smart battery platforms for 2026 models.
- **Proprietary Tech**: Patented **dry electrode manufacturing** and **nonflammable solid-state batteries** .
**Risks**:
- **DTC Segment Weakness**: Retail sales remain volatile.
- **Profitability Lag**: Net loss persists despite margin improvements.
**Earnings Beat Potential**: High likelihood, given **OEM-driven growth** and **beat Q2 guidance** ($14.8M vs. actual $16.2M).
---
#### **2. Nano Dimension (NNDM): Business Growth & Risks**
| Metric | Recent Data | Key Takeaways |
|----------------------------|-----------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
| **Q2 2025 Earnings** | **No data found** | **Uncertainty** due to lack of financial updates |
| **GAAP Adoption** | Switched from IFRS | **Positive sentiment** (+3% stock surge on news) |
| **Desktop Metal Bankruptcy** | Filed Chapter 11 | **Strategic exit** to preserve liquidity, but **asset sales** underway |
| **Board Governance** | Proxy firms oppose CEO election | **Corporate governance risks** (ISS, Glass Lewis, Egan-Jones) |
| **Stock Performance** | **No recent surge** (unavailable data) | **Market skepticism** due to **lack of clarity** on financials |
**Key Catalysts**:
- **GAAP Alignment**: Improved financial transparency for U.S. investors .
- **Pending Merger**: Potential with Markforged Holding .
**Risks**:
- **Subsidiary Bankruptcy**: Desktop Metal’s restructuring could **drain resources**.
- **Governance Issues**: Shareholder distrust over board composition .
**Earnings Beat Potential**: Low confidence due to **missing Q2 data** and **strategic missteps** (e.g., Desktop Metal).
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#### **3. Stock Growth Outlook**
| Stock | Short-Term Catalysts (Next 1-3 Months) | Long-Term Risks |
|------------|------------------------------------------|------------------|
| **DFLI** | - Airstream partnership execution
- Heavy-duty trucking pilot results
- Q3 guidance ($15.9M sales, -$2.7M EBITDA) | - Unproven scalability of OEM partnerships
- DTC segment volatility
- Profitability timeline uncertainty |
| **NNDM** | - Desktop Metal asset sales
- Markforged merger progress | - Governance disputes
- Lack of financial transparency
- High debt exposure |
**DFLI Stock Growth Potential**:
- **Bull Case**: +50% if Q3 guidance met (+25% YoY sales growth) .
- **Bear Case**: -30% if DTC sales decline accelerates.
**NNDM Stock Growth Potential**:
- **Bull Case**: +20% if merger with Markforged finalized .
- **Bear Case**: -50% if Desktop Metal liquidation impacts liquidity .
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### 📉 **Final Takeaway** 📉
**Dragonfly Energy (DFLI)** is the **safer bet** for short-term growth due to its **OEM-driven revenue** and **strategic partnerships**. **Nano Dimension (NNDM)** remains **high-risk** with **unclear financials** and **governance issues**. Monitor **DFLI’s Q3 2025 results** (guidance: $15.9M sales) and **NNDM’s Q2 2025 earnings** (if released) for clarity.