"Could Opendoor's stock continue to rally like GameStop, and what's the risk?"
7/22/2025 08:25am
**Opendoor's stock could potentially continue to rally like GameStop**, but it also carries significant risks. Here's why:
1. **Retail Frenzy and Short Squeeze Potential**: Opendoor is experiencing a retail-driven rally similar to GameStop's meme stock phenomenon. The company's stock has seen a dramatic increase in popularity on social media platforms like Reddit's Wall Street Bets, which is driving retail investors to buy and hold shares, potentially leading to a short squeeze.
2. **Strategic Pivot and Improved Fundamentals**: Unlike GameStop, Opendoor's rally is accompanied by a strategic pivot towards a more sustainable business model. The company is shifting from a capital-intensive iBuying model to an asset-light, agent-assisted model, which could improve its long-term profitability.
3. **Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings**: Opendoor's stock has received positive attention from analysts, with some projecting net income growth and a focus on improving contribution margins year-over-year. This positive sentiment could fuel further price increases.
4. **Risks and Challenges**: Despite the rally, Opendoor faces significant risks. The company is still unprofitable, with a net loss of $368 million and a high debt-to-equity ratio. It also operates in a highly competitive real estate market, facing challenges such as increased borrowing costs and reduced demand for homes.
5. **Comparison to GameStop**: While the comparison to GameStop is intriguing, Opendoor's business model is more viable than GameStop's, with a more sustainable revenue stream. However, the high level of short interest (22% of its float loaned to short-sellers) indicates that institutional investors are betting against Opendoor, which could lead to a short squeeze but also potential price volatility.
In conclusion, Opendoor's stock has the potential to continue its rally, driven by retail enthusiasm and strategic improvements. However, investors should be aware of the risks associated with its unprofitable business model and high debt levels. The stock's future performance will likely be influenced by market sentiment, strategic developments, and the company's ability to execute on its pivot towards a more sustainable business model.