CAKE stock
8/4/2025 04:48am
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is a prominent player in the casual dining sector, known for its distinctive menu and high-quality desserts. Here's a comprehensive analysis of CAKE stock:
1. **Financial Performance**:
- CAKE reported a revenue of $927.2 million for Q1 2025, reflecting a 4.04% year-over-year growth.
- Net income for the quarter was $32.94 million, marking a slight decrease of 0.75% compared to the previous year.
- Diluted EPS was $0.67, down 1.47% from the corresponding period in the previous year.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue|Net Income|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|2024 Q4|9.20963E8|4.1154E7||185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|2025 Q1|9.27197E8|3.2941E7|0.67|185|
2. **Growth Rates**:
- The 3-year revenue CAGR is 4.13%, indicating steady growth in revenue over the period.
- The 3-year net income CAGR is 90.68%, suggesting significant growth in net income.
- The 3-year diluted EPS CAGR is 92.9%, reflecting strong growth in earnings per share.
3. **Dividend and Dividend Yield**:
- CAKE has a dividend yield of 1.77% as of August 1, 2025.
- The company has a history of paying dividends, with a continuous duration of 12 years, although there has been no growth in dividends over the past year.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Payout Ratio|Dividend Yield (TTM)|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240803|8.499538663929187||185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240804|8.499538663929187||185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240805|8.499538663929187|3.164033294392523|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240806|8.499538663929187|3.11849453080023|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240807|8.499538663929187|3.132923655292076|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240808|8.499538663929187|3.015210130809908|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240809|8.499538663929187|3.0312395075545604|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240810|8.499538663929187||185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240811|8.499538663929187||185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20240812|8.499538663929187|3.001842615683014|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Dividend Growth Duration|Dividend Continuous Duration|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|0|12|185|
4. **Technical Analysis**:
- The stock is currently trading below its 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages, indicating a short-term downward trend.
- It is also below its 30-day, 50-day, and 60-day moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend in the medium term.
- The 120-day, 200-day, and 250-day moving averages are lower than the current trading price, indicating a potential upside from these levels.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Moving Average|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250801|64.3660|185|
5. **Market Sentiment and Fund Flow**:
- The stock has a neutral technical rating, with a buy signal prevailing over the past week and a strong buy signal over the past month.
- The MACD is negative, indicating potential bearish momentum.
- The RSI is 38.87, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold.
- Net fund flow is positive, with $4.65 million in net fund flow and $5.8 million in net fund flow from block orders.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Fund Flow|Net Fund Flow (Block Order)|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250106|7157810.0586|7073818.5926|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250107|1104290.0891|1212635.7403|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250108|-2864441.2488|-3232526.8491|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250110|1.2552274651E7|1.29755152571E7|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250113|-551361.0884|-149308.3627|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250114|7094510.1921|6601813.0518|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250115|2007638.0409|1824091.7198|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250116|-4051261.8675|-3450472.8453|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250117|1339564.4815|1375815.0417|185|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250121|-3021889.3365|-3197061.8054|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Boll|RSI|KDJ|MACD|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|CAKE|CAKE.O|The Cheesecake Factory|20250801|64.2510|38.8742|4.1581|-0.8772|185|
6. **Valuation and Analyst Sentiment**:
- The stock has a consensus price target of $36.25, with analysts rating it as a "Hold".
- Recent news suggests that the company has outperformed expectations with its Q2 earnings, leading to increased analyst optimism.
In conclusion, while CAKE stock has shown strong growth in net income and diluted EPS over the past three years, the recent quarter's performance has been mixed, with revenue growth but a slight decline in net income and EPS. The stock is currently trading below its moving averages, indicating a potential for price increase. Dividend investors may find the stock attractive with a yield of 1.77%, and the positive net fund flow suggests investor confidence. However, the lack of dividend growth and the bearish trend in moving averages suggest caution. Investors should consider the company's strong operational resilience and growth potential when evaluating CAKE stock.