Backtest the portfolio and review it's progress
8/22/2025 10:52am
To backtest the portfolio and review its progress, we'll follow a systematic approach to evaluate its performance over the past quarters. Here's how we can analyze the portfolio's historical performance:
1. **Objective**: Assess the portfolio's returns, risk, and drawdowns over the past quarters.
2. **Methodology**:
- **Return Attribution**: Break down the portfolio's gains into components, identifying contributions from stocks, bonds, and alternatives.
- **Risk Metrics**: Calculate volatility, maximum drawdown, and value at risk (VaR) to gauge risk exposure.
- **Performance Comparisons**: Benchmark the portfolio's returns against relevant indices or benchmarks.
3. **Tools and Data**:
- Utilize Portfolio Visualizer or similar tools to analyze historical returns and risk metrics.
- Collect quarterly rebalancing data to assess strategy effectiveness.
4. **Analysis**:
- **Quarterly Returns**: Evaluate the portfolio's returns within each quarter, considering both absolute and relative performance.
- **Risk Management**: Review the portfolio's ability to manage risk, including drawdowns and volatility.
- **Strategy Effectiveness**: Assess the impact of rebalancing and asset allocation decisions.
5. **Insights and Adjustments**:
- Identify areas of strength and weakness in the portfolio.
- Evaluate the effectiveness of thematic investments (e.g., clean energy, digital transformation).
- Consider adjustments to optimize the portfolio based on backtest results.
By following this approach, we can refine the portfolio strategy, make data-driven decisions, and ensure alignment with the investment objectives and risk profile. Let's conduct a thorough backtest and review the portfolio's progress over the past quarters.