backtest ECDA.O performance after 2% intraday surge from 2022 to now
9/15/2025 04:11pm
The event-study backtest has been completed.
Below is an interactive module summarising the performance of ECDA.O after every intraday ≥ 2 % surge since 2022. Feel free to explore the statistics and charts.
```jgy-json-canvas
{
"show_type": "jgyNewLowcode",
"config": {
"type": "iwencai/stockBackTesting",
"version": "0.0.2",
"url": "https://cdn.ainvest.com/frontResources/s/aime-frontend-foiegras-outer/stockBackTesting/0.0.2/stockBackTesting@0.0.2index.js"
},
"data": {
"datas": [
{
"Backtest Object": "ECDA.O",
"Backtest Event": "Intraday ≥ 2 % surge (141 events)",
"Backtest Period": "2022.01.01 - 2025.09.15",
"backtest_result": "https://cdn.ainvest.com/backtest/agent/session/784562/3faca022-22a4-4644-a3a7-148cf9a07821/78ca30a2-edea-4fd9-ba06-dd7744b9b9a9/ecda_event_backtest_vis.json"
}
]
}
}
```
Key insights (high-level):
• 141 surge events detected between 2022-01-01 and 2025-09-15.
• Average close-to-close return after the surge is negative and becomes significantly negative by day 6 onward (≈ -5 % after 7 trading days).
• Win rate (price higher than event-day close) stays below 40 % throughout the first 30 trading days.
• No statistically significant positive edge was found; instead, short-bias strategies might be explored.
You can adjust the holding window or add filters (e.g., volume spikes, market regime) if deeper analysis is needed—just let me know!