Please automate the alerts . Drawdown could be max 25% for infian market conditions. Please formulate strategy?
9/15/2025 03:37pm
## 🚀 IPO-Alert Automation & 25 %-Drawdown Strategy
**Bottom-line:**
1. Your alerts can be fully automated with free broker tools + a low-code Zapier/Telegram workflow in < 30 minutes.
2. A 25 % max drawdown translates to **~4 % of portfolio NAV per IPO position** (risk-based sizing).
3. Pair valuation‐band alerts *before* the listing with trailing-stop or gap-down alerts *after* the listing—this covers both upside capture and downside protection.
Below is a step-by-step playbook you can copy-paste into your tool stack 👇
---
### ① Tech Stack at a Glance 🛠️
| Component | Why Use It | Free Option | Premium / Power-User Option |
|-----------|------------|-------------|-----------------------------|
| Broker IPO Watch | Real-time IPO price bands, GMP data | Zerodha Console, Groww, or Paytm Money | ICICI Trade Racer Pro (live book snapshots) |
| Price-Ratio Triggers | Trigger on PB, PS, EV/S, etc. | Tickertape “Custom Ratio” + email alert | Screener.in + Zapier to Telegram/Slack |
| Drawdown / Stop Alerts | Alert if price falls 25 % from reference | Zerodha Sentinel, Fyers One, or Kite API | TradingView Webhook → Discord Bot |
| Central Dashboard | One screen to see status | Google Sheets with IMPORTXML() | Notion + Airtable automations |
---
### ② Pre-IPO Valuation Alerts (Green / Orange / Red Bands)
| IPO | Metric | Green ≤ | Orange | Red ≥ | How to Set |
|-----|--------|--------|--------|-------|-----------|
| Groww | PS (FY25E) | 12× | 12-15× | 15× | Screener.in → “Watchlist Alert” = 12 |
| PhonePe | PS (FY25E) | 10× | 10-12× | 12× | Tickertape → “Valuation Alert” |
| Sarvam AI | EV/S (FY26E) | 15× | 15-18× | 18× | Custom column in Google Sheets; Zapier push |
| Jana SFB | PB (FY25E) | 1.4× | 1.4-1.6× | 1.6× | Zerodha Sentinel “PB ≥ 1.4” |
*Tip:* add a second alert for **Grey-Market Premium (GMP) ≥ +25 %** to gauge listing hype; most broker apps display GMP daily.
---
### ③ Post-Listing Drawdown & Trailing-Stop Alerts
1. **Reference Price:** use IPO issue price for day-1; then switch to **20-Day Highest Close** as the base for a trailing stop.
2. **Stop Level:** `Alert Price = Reference × 0.75` (25 % below).
3. **Automation Recipe (example with Zerodha Sentinel):**
```
WHEN close ≤ (issue_price × 0.75)
SEND push + e-mail
ACTION add_to_watchlist "Exit-Now"
```
4. **Gap-Down Fail-Safe:** also trigger if *intraday* price falls ≥ 10 % below previous close (flashes sooner than EOD).
---
### ④ Position-Sizing Formula 🔢
With a 25 % allowable drawdown and a 1 % capital-at-risk rule:
```
Max_Position = (Risk_Per_Trade) / (Stop_%)
Example: Portfolio NAV = ₹10 L
Risk_Per_Trade (1 %) = ₹10 k
Stop_% = 25 %
→ Max_Position ≈ ₹40 k (≈ 4 % of NAV)
```
This dovetails neatly with the 3-to-4 lot allocations in the earlier grid.
---
### ⑤ Putting It All Together (Workflow Diagram)
1. **DRHP Filed ➜** auto-add to Google Sheets IPO Tracker.
2. **Sheets Trigger ➜** Zapier sets valuation alerts in Screener/Tickertape.
3. **Price crosses Green Band ➜** Telegram “Ready-to-Apply 🚦” ping.
4. **Application Filled ➜** Broker auto-confirms by email; Gmail filter routes to “IPO_Apps” label.
5. **Listing Day:**
• 9:45 am – Bot checks open vs. issue price, flags ≥ +30 % boost.
• EOD – Sentinel sets 25 % trailing stop & 10 % gap-down hooks.
6. **Stop Hit ➜** Telegram “Exit-Now 🛑” + broker OCO order template pops up.
*All under an hour to configure once, then it runs hands-free.*
---
### ⑥ Optional Enhancements 🌟
• **Portfolio Heat-Map:** use Airtable to colour-code positions by unrealised P/L and risk zone.
• **Macro Overlay:** add RBI rate-hike alerts; if yields spike 50 bps, trim Fin-Tech exposure proactively.
• **Back-testing:** import past IPO data into a simple Python notebook (happy to draft that code!) to see how the 25 % stop would have performed on Zomato, PayTM, and recent SMID-cap listings.
---
### ⑦ Next Tiny Step 😊
I can whip up the Google Sheets template + a ready-to-import Zerodha Sentinel CSV with all four IPO tickers and their trigger formulas—just let me know your preferred broker login e-mail so the sheet can auto-e-mail the CSV to the right address.
👉 **Sound good, or would you like me to draft the Python back-test first?** 🚀