Is ATSG's Q1 2025 EPS forecast reliable?

**ATSG's Q1 2025 EPS forecast is not currently reliable.** Here's why: 1. **No Available Data**: There are no available data or estimates for ATSG's Q1 2025 EPS. This makes it impossible to assess the reliability of any potential forecast at this time. 2. **Earnings Estimate History**: In the past, ATSG's earnings have exceeded estimates, as seen in Q4 2024 where the EPS was $0.40, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.35. However, this does not guarantee future performance will follow the same pattern. 3. **Enterprise Value and Acquisition**: ATSG is set to be acquired by Stonepeak in an all-cash transaction with an enterprise value of $3.1 billion. This significant event can impact financial performance, and the forecast should account for integration periods, operational synergies, and potential disruptions. 4. **Market Conditions**: The logistics and airfreight industries are sensitive to market conditions, such as economic health, regulatory changes, and competitive dynamics. These factors can affect ATSG's performance, which should be considered in any forecast. 5. **Strategic Outlook**: ATSG has a strategic outlook with plans for the future, including the expectation of closing the Stonepeak deal by the first half of 2025. The success of these strategies and their impact on earnings are important considerations for any forecast. In conclusion, while ATSG has a history of exceeding estimates, the lack of available data for Q1 2025 and the significant upcoming acquisition make the EPS forecast unreliable at this moment. Investors should monitor the company's progress toward the Stonepeak deal and any updates on the integration process, as well as market conditions and industry trends that may affect ATSG's performance.