Asml

``` The deep research logic is organized as follows: Okay, let's tackle this question about ASML. The user is asking for an analysis, and based on the provided references and background, I need to provide a comprehensive response. First, I should check the references to gather all the relevant data points. Looking at the references, there's a lot of financial data like revenue, net income, EPS, growth rates, technical indicators, and analyst ratings. The user is interested in technical analysis, so I should focus on the moving averages, RSI, MACD, and any buy/sell signals mentioned. Also, the user prefers smaller market cap companies, but ASML is a large-cap stock, so I need to address that. The user's profile mentions interest in AI, which ties into ASML's role in semiconductor equipment, especially for AI chips. The recent earnings reports show strong performance, but there's caution about 2026 due to geopolitical factors. The technical analysis from the references shows mixed signals—some indicators suggest a sell, others a buy. The user is looking for stocks with strong buy signals, so I need to reconcile these conflicting indicators. I should structure the answer with a clear conclusion first, then break down the analysis into sections like financial performance, technical analysis, risks, and a final recommendation. Make sure to cite the references properly using the [^Number] format. Also, include the visualization for the ASML Revenue, Net Income, Diluted EPS query as per the requirements. Need to ensure the language is engaging, using emojis where appropriate, and the format follows the markdown tables. Also, check if there's any mention of fund flows or institutional ownership, but the references show no results for fund inflow/outflow, so that section might be brief. Finally, tie everything back to the user's interests in AI and technical analysis, highlighting how ASML fits into their strategy despite being a larger company. Make sure the answer is concise but covers all key points without unnecessary fluff. ``` ### 🌟 **Conclusion** ASML Holding NV (ASML) presents a compelling opportunity for investors with a medium to long-term horizon, particularly those focused on the semiconductor and AI sectors. Despite recent technical sell signals and geopolitical risks, ASML’s fundamentals remain robust, driven by AI-driven demand for advanced lithography systems. The stock offers a unique combination of high growth potential, strong cash flow, and shareholder returns, making it a strategic holding for tech-focused portfolios. --- ### 📊 **Key Analysis** #### 1. **Financial Performance** ASML delivered **record-breaking Q2 2025 results** with: - **Revenue**: €7.7 billion (YoY +23.2%) - **Net Income**: €2.3 billion (YoY +47.1%) - **Diluted EPS**: €5.9 (YoY +47.1%) **Growth Trajectory**: - **3-Year CAGR**: Revenue (13.65%), Net Income (14.13%), Diluted EPS (14.78%) - **2025 Guidance**: Full-year revenue growth ~15% **Risks**: Management flagged **2026 uncertainty** due to U.S.-China trade tensions and potential tariffs . --- #### 2. **Technical Analysis** **Indicators**: | Metric | Value (2025-07-17) | Signal | |-----------------------|----------------------|------------------| | **RSI** | 28.22 | Oversold (Buy) | | **MACD** | -13.01 | Bearish (Sell) | | **KDJ** | 48.53 | Neutral | | **Bollinger Bands** | 791.68 | Below Upper Band| **Moving Averages**: - **Short-term (5/10/20)**: All below current price ($747) - **Long-term (50/200)**: 50-day ($765.18) > 200-day ($726.38) **Conclusion**: Mixed signals, but **RSI oversold** and **bullish divergence** suggest a potential **buy setup** . --- #### 3. **Valuation & Market Sentiment** - **Analyst Price Targets**: $840–$965 (Average: $890) - **Dividend Yield**: 0.91% (18-year continuous payout) - **Short Interest**: 0.39% (Low risk of short squeeze) **Risks**: - **Geopolitical**: U.S.-China trade tensions could disrupt ASML’s China sales (~25% of revenue) . - **Competition**: No direct competitors for EUV lithography systems . --- #### 4. **Why ASML Fits Your Strategy** - **AI Alignment**: ASML’s EUV systems are critical for AI chip production . - **Technical Setup**: Oversold RSI and bullish divergence align with your interest in technical buy signals . - **Market Cap**: While ASML is large-cap, its role as a **semiconductor leader** aligns with your tech focus . --- ### 🎯 **Final Recommendation** **Buy ASML** for its **AI-driven growth**, **strong fundamentals**, and **oversold technical setup**. Monitor for **RSI crossover** (above 30) and **MACD bullish divergence** as confirmation signals. |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue YoY|Total Revenue|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---| |ASML|ASML.O|ASML Holding|2024 Q3|17.9825887345797|8.33276007E9|185| |ASML|ASML.O|ASML Holding|2024 Q4|19.765675630767753|9.58792428E9|185| |ASML|ASML.O|ASML Holding|2025 Q1|46.81680753705172|8.3809479E9|185| |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Net Income YoY|Net Income|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---| |ASML|ASML.O|ASML Holding|2024 Q3|15.628531232452373|2.31716635E9|185| |ASML|ASML.O|ASML Holding|2024 Q4|23.054741565159045|2.78793834E9|185| |ASML|ASML.O|ASML Holding|2025 Q1|93.05755104612926|2.549523E9|185| |code|Ticker|Name|Date|Diluted EPS YoY|Diluted EPS|market_code| |---|---|---|---|---|---|---| |ASML|ASML.O|ASML Holding|2024 Q3|15.734887163458586|5.891952|185| |ASML|ASML.O|ASML Holding|2025 Q1|93.5517897640674|6.4956|185|