How did AISP's Q4 2024 forecast compare to past surprises?

Airship AI Holdings (AISP) experienced a bullish trend in Q4 2024, which was characterized by a 24-day duration and a continuation probability of 55%. This suggests that the positive momentum in the stock price was likely to persist, at least in the short term. However, the forecast also indicated a 40% chance of a clear trend reversal, which could be indicative of potential volatility or a possible trend reversal in the near future. When comparing the Q4 2024 forecast to past surprises, it's important to consider the historical win rate of the trend forecasts. The forecast for AISP had a stock historical win rate of 66.1% for the bullish trend, which is relatively high and suggests that the forecast was consistent with the stock's past performance in this regard. However, the market historical win rate was lower at 61.14%, which implies that while the forecast was accurate in terms of the stock's trend, it may not have fully captured the overall market dynamics.