How will ACI's Q4 2025 earnings forecast affect its stock?
4/3/2025 06:10pm
**Albertsons Companies' (ACI) Q4 2025 earnings forecast is a critical indicator for its stock performance.** Here's how it might influence the stock:
1. **Analyst Expectations and Recent Performance**:
- **Telsey Advisory Group** increased Q4 2025 earnings estimates to $0.52 per share, which could positively influence the stock if the actual earnings beat or meet these expectations.
- **Roth Capital**, on the other hand, dropped its Q4 2025 EPS estimates to $0.50, which suggests a more cautious outlook. If the actual earnings fall short of this revised estimate, it could negatively impact the stock.
2. **Consensus and Guidance**:
- The consensus earnings per share estimate for FY25 is $2.27, which is slightly above the company's guidance of $2.25-2.31. This suggests a slight positive sentiment among analysts, potentially supporting the stock price.
- Roth Capital has also decreased Q3 2025 earnings estimates, which could indicate a broader concern about performance. If this trend continues, it may affect investor confidence and the stock's performance.
3. **Market Sentiment and Price Target**:
- Morgan Stanley has a buy rating with an average return of +19.03% over two years, which suggests a positive long-term outlook. However, recent earnings estimate reductions could temper short-term optimism.
4. **Investor Response**:
- Investors will likely react to the Q4 2025 earnings forecast based on how it compares to the analyst estimates and the company's guidance. A beat or a raise in estimates could lead to increased investor confidence and a positive reaction in the stock price.
- Conversely, a miss or a downgrade in estimates could lead to a negative reaction as investors adjust their expectations and risk aversion.
In conclusion, ACI's Q4 2025 earnings forecast is a key factor that will influence investor sentiment and, consequently, its stock performance. Positive surprises or sustained guidance could support the stock, while negative surprises or revisions downward could put pressure on the stock.