ACGL, please give me a stock prediction
8/10/2024 09:58am
**Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Stock Forecast**: Based on the available information, here is a comprehensive analysis and prediction for ACGL:
1. **Recent Performance**: ACGL experienced a slight increase in its closing price, from $98.40 to $98.79, with a 0.4% change. This follows a more significant change of 19.37% over the past three months.
|Ticker|Name|Date|Closing Price|Percentage Change|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|ACGL.O|Arch Capital Group|20240809|98.79|0.3963414634146347|ACGL|185|
2. **Financial Health Indicators**:
- The company's net income for the quarter ending June 30, 2024, was $1.27 billion, representing a significant year-on-year growth of 89.69%.
- Total revenue grew by 34.23% year-on-year, and diluted EPS grew by 13.01% quarter-over-quarter.
- The P/E ratio stands at 6.87, indicating that investors are willing to pay $6.87 for every dollar of earnings.
|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue|Net Income|Diluted EPS|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|ACGL.O|Arch Capital Group|2024 Q2|4.274E9|1.269E9|3.3|ACGL|185|
|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue year-on-year growth rate|Diluted EPS QoQ growth rate|Net Income year-on-year growth rate|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|ACGL.O|Arch Capital Group|20240630|34.233668341708544|13.013698630136982|89.68609865470853|ACGL|185|
|Ticker|Name|Date|P/E(TTM)|P/S|Price to Book Ratio|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|ACGL.O|Arch Capital Group|20240809|6.8721||1.8730|ACGL|185|
3. **Analyst Ratings and Price Targets**:
- The consensus rating is "Moderate Buy" with 15 analysts predicting an average price target of $105.56, indicating a potential upside of 6.86%.
- Individual price targets range from $102.00 to $121.00, with an average forecast for ACGL's share price to reach $111.73 by August 1, 2025.
4. **Market Sentiment and Future Outlook**:
- The sentiment is bullish, with technical indicators showing a potential upside.
- Long-term forecasts suggest that ACGL's stock price could reach $113.88 by the end of next year, with significant growth projected for the coming years.
|Ticker|Name|Date|Interval Percentage Change|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|ACGL.O|Arch Capital Group|20230810-20240809|28.21544451654771|ACGL|185|
|ACGL.O|Arch Capital Group|20240209-20240809|19.369260512324797|ACGL|185|
|ACGL.O|Arch Capital Group|20240510-20240809|-0.8431195423065234|ACGL|185|
|Ticker|Name|Date|P/E(TTM)|P/S|Price to Book Ratio|code|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|ACGL.O|Arch Capital Group|20240809|6.8721||1.8730|ACGL|185|
5. **Conclusion and Prediction**: Based on the strong financial performance, positive analyst ratings, and bullish market sentiment, it is anticipated that ACGL's stock price will continue to rise. The company's strategic acquisitions and robust financial metrics support this optimistic outlook. Therefore, it is predicted that ACGL's stock will perform well in the near term, potentially reaching the higher end of the price target range within the next 12 to 18 months.
Please note that stock market predictions are subject to uncertainties and risks, and actual outcomes may vary from these projections due to unforeseen market events or changes in company performance.