Is ACCD's Q2 2025 EPS trend sustainable?
4/9/2025 02:38pm
**Accolade's Q2 2025 EPS trend is not currently sustainable.** Here's an analysis to support this conclusion:
1. **Financial Performance**: Accolade reported a net loss of $121.26 million for the three months ended November 30, 2024, with a diluted EPS of -$1.5. This indicates a significant loss and negative earnings per share, which is a red flag for sustainability.
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Investing Cash Flow|Operating Cash Flow|Net Income|Financing Cash Flow|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2024 Q4|-5.3254E7|5951000|-7507000|3004000|185|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2025 Q1|8045000|-7120000|-2.7592E7|2066000|185|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2025 Q2|-1.9549E7|4144000|-2.3934E7|11000|185|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2025 Q3|2.1203E7|-9734000|-1.21264E8|1138000|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Total Revenue|Diluted EPS|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2024 Q4|1.24831E8||185|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2025 Q1|1.10466E8|-0.35|185|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2025 Q2|1.0636E8|-0.3|185|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2025 Q3|1.05061E8|-1.5|185|
|code|Ticker|Name|Date|Free Cash Flow|Free Cash Flow YoY|market_code|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2024 Q4|-3891556.138|98.94795741901822|185|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2025 Q1|3.744515534E7|145.04696918869448|185|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2025 Q2|1.9291787648E7|183.1058682746231|185|
|ACCD|ACCD.O|Accolade|2025 Q3|-1.58668281685E8|-760.3716089895672|185|
2. **Cash Flow Challenges**: The company has experienced negative free cash flow of $10.61 million as of September 30, 2024. Additionally, the operating cash flow was negative at -$9.73 million, which suggests that the company is struggling to generate sufficient cash to support its operations.
3. **Analyst Ratings and Targets**: The consensus rating for Accolade is "Neutral" with an average price target of $7.03, which is slightly above the current price of $7.02. This indicates that analysts are cautious about the stock's future performance, which could reflect concerns about the sustainability of the Q2 2025 EPS trend.
4. **Market Performance and Outlook**: Accolade's stock has experienced a decrease of 3% since the beginning of the year, and over the last 52 weeks, shares are down 55.34%. The company's revenue growth has been modest, with a 6% year-over-year increase for the three months ended November 30, 2024. The full-year revenue outlook for 2025 is between $411 million and $415 million, which represents a growth of 11% to 15%. While these figures suggest some potential for growth, they do not necessarily indicate a strong, sustainable EPS trend.
5. **CEO's Stock Sale**: The recent sale of company stock by CEO Rajeev Singh to cover tax withholding obligations does not necessarily reflect a negative view of the company's future, as it was mandatory. However, such transactions can influence investor perceptions and may contribute to a perception of uncertainty around the sustainability of earnings.
In conclusion, while there is some potential for growth as indicated by the revenue outlook, the current financial performance, cash flow challenges, and analyst ratings suggest that Accolade's Q2 2025 EPS trend is not sustainable at this time. The company will need to demonstrate significant improvements in profitability and cash generation to support a sustainable earnings trend.