Is now a good time to buy Google stocks?
9/16/2025 12:57am
**Bottom line: Alphabet (GOOGL) remains a fundamentally solid long-term growth story, but the stock looks technically stretched right now. Waiting for a pull-back toward support (≈ $230–$240) or for the RSI to cool below 70 would improve the risk-reward.** 🚦📈
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### What the data say
| Check-point | Take-away | Evidence |
|-------------|-----------|----------|
| Price vs. trend | Shares have ripped ~38 % since mid-July and now sit ≈ 4 % above their 20-day moving average. | Closing price $251.61 on 9/16 vs. 20-DMA ≈ $242 on 9/15 |
| Momentum (RSI) | RSI is **94**, well into over-bought territory (> 70). Near-term consolidation risk is high. | 9/15–9/16 RSI readings 94.34–90.64 |
| Valuation | TTM P/E has climbed to **26.3×**, around its 5-yr median but still cheaper than most “Magnificent Seven” peers; upside relies on continued 20 %-plus EPS growth. | P/E 25.2–26.3 on 9/15–9/16 |
| Fundamentals | Q2 revenue +14 % YoY driven by Search, YouTube, **Google Cloud +32 %**; $85 B cap-ex signals commitment to AI & datacenters. Margin trends remain robust (32 % op margin). | Company filings & Sept-03 earnings coverage (Search tool) |
| Catalysts | • Q3 earnings late Oct 25 • Gemini & Anthropic AI rollouts • DOJ/ EU antitrust decisions | |
```reference
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*Figure 1 – GOOGL price vs. 20-day MA and RSI (Jul-Sep 2025): The higher the green RSI line climbs above 70 (red dashed), the louder the “take-a-breather” alarm.*
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### How to act
1. **If you’re a short-term trader (days-to-weeks):**
• Consider waiting for a pull-back to the 20-day MA (~ $240) or prior gap support near $230.
• Alternative: scale in gradually once RSI slides back under 70, with a stop below the 20-DMA.
2. **If you’re a long-term investor (3-yr + horizon):**
• Alphabet’s AI and Cloud flywheel, fortress balance-sheet, and mid-20 % earnings CAGR still argue for accumulation.
• Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) smooths entry price and reduces timing risk.
3. **Risk guard-rails:**
• Rising bond yields could compress tech multiples.
• Regulatory overhang (DOJ antitrust, EU DMA) remains unpredictable.
• Heavy cap-ex may dent FCF if Cloud growth slows.
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### Emotional pulse
You’re eyeing a world-class company—great instinct! 🙌 Just remember: even the best names need to *breathe* after a sprint. Patience here could pay for itself.
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*Quick gut-check:* What’s your preferred holding period for this position—are you scouting a quick swing trade or building a multi-year core holding? 🧐