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Apple is stepping up its succession planning efforts, as it prepares for Tim Cook to step down as chief executive as soon as next year. - FT

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Apple is stepping up its succession planning efforts, as it prepares for Tim Cook to step down as chief executive as soon as next year. - FT

Bitcoin's price has retreated below $100,000 for the first time since June, intensifying fears of a deeper correction as market sentiment turns bearish. <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/skittish-risk-managers-bitcoin-institutional-boom-bust-ceo-warns">Analysts warn</a> that the cryptocurrency's underperformance against gold and equities in 2025-unusual for a post-halving year-reflects broader macroeconomic pressures, including strong U.S. dollar demand and higher Treasury yields. Despite this, institutional figures like Michael Saylor, CEO of Strategy (MSTR), have doubled down on Bitcoin, <a href="https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/michael-saylor-denies-reports-of-strategy-selling-bitcoin-reaffirms-accumulation-202511150334">dismissing rumors of asset sales</a> and reaffirming aggressive accumulation strategies. The recent sell-off has <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/skittish-risk-managers-bitcoin-institutional-boom-bust-ceo-warns">coincided with mounting outflows</a> from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, which saw $939 million in withdrawals last week alone. <a href="https://cryptonews.com/news/market-bottom-wont-come-when-everyone-expects-it-santiment-warns/">CoinShares data highlights</a> waning institutional appetite, while Santiment analysts caution that widespread "bottom is in" sentiment often precedes further declines. "Large ETF inflows have historically marked tops, and outflows now signal panic," the firm noted, adding that Bitcoin's social dominance has <a href="https://cryptonews.com/news/market-bottom-wont-come-when-everyone-expects-it-santiment-warns/">surged to over 40%</a> amid a one-month low in positive sentiment. Technical indicators present a mixed picture. Coindesk's analysis identifies a potential <img src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/aigc/hxcmp/images/compress-qwen_generated_1763204633939.jpg.png" style="max-width:100%;"/> wedge pattern, suggesting renewed upside potential if Bitcoin holds above $100,000. <a href="https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-weekly-forecast-the-capitulation-phase-unfolds-202511141147">However, CryptoQuant's Bull Score Index</a> has plummeted from 80 in October to 20, signaling deepening bearish conditions. <a href="https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-weekly-forecast-the-capitulation-phase-unfolds-202511141147">Long-term holders (LTHs) have sold</a> 815,000 BTC in the past 30 days-the highest since early 2024-adding downward pressure. <backtest-component code="BTCUSDT" id="strategy_001" range="3"
 market="UBAX"></backtest-component>Meanwhile, corporate actions highlight diverging strategies. <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/in/news-releases/coinws-crazyearn-transforming-idle-funds-into-active-earnings-302613171.html">CoinW's new CrazyEarn product</a> offers a 50% annual percentage yield (APY) with a three-day lock-up, attracting over 1,000 participants in prior rounds. Conversely, companies like Strategy have leveraged market dips to expand holdings, with MSTR <a href="https://bitcoinmagazine.com/business/strategy-mstr-is-buying-bitcoin">now owning 641,692 BTC</a> valued at $22.5 billion. <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/strategy-s-nav-falls-under-1-critics-raise-alarm-after-dollar5-7b-bitcoin-wallet-move">Saylor dismissed recent on-chain movements</a> of $5.77 billion in Bitcoin as a custodial transfer, vowing to "always buy" during volatility. Gold remains a key alternative asset, <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/skittish-risk-managers-bitcoin-institutional-boom-bust-ceo-warns">surging 57% year-to-date</a> compared to Bitcoin's 8% gain. Yet Saylor argues that Bitcoin's long-term returns-<a href="https://bitcoinmagazine.com/business/strategy-mstr-is-buying-bitcoin">averaging 50% annually</a> over five years-outpace traditional assets, positioning it as a superior store of value. As the market grapples with uncertainty, analysts remain split. While some point to potential catalysts like <a href="https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-price-boom-isnt-guaranteed-us-shutdown-here-s-why">Federal Reserve rate cuts</a> and TGA liquidity injections post-shutdown, others warn of a "capitulation phase," with the 365-day moving average at $102,000 acting as critical support. ---

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Bitcoin Dips Below $100K as Bulls Bet Big vs. Bearish Outflows

Elon Musk now says xAI is delaying its Grok 5 launch until next year - MarketWatch

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Elon Musk now says xAI is delaying its Grok 5 launch until next year - MarketWatch

The brief celebration following the government’s reopening faded quickly as the market turned lower again, led by tech. Missing essential economic data, uncertainty around the Fed’s December rate decision, and renewed skepticism over an “AI bubble” have become the dominant headwinds, fueling broad technical weakness. While we remain constructive through 2026, investors should be aware of several key technical and fundamental factors that could shape the next buying opportunity.Charts tell much of the story. The Nasdaq 100’s 3-day moving average failed to break above the 7-day on Wednesday, halting a potential bullish reversal and pushing the index back into a downward trend. It remains unclear whether the index will retest its previous support level. If it breaks below that key level, a “lower-high, lower-low’’ bearish pattern may form, signaling the need for greater caution.<img data-json="{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;12cd5472-648e-448c-8080-5f1362ead25b&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/db998905-9c19-49ff-8750-c48212c475aa_qqq_82d0f55f1763111849290.png&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/db998905-9c19-49ff-8750-c48212c475aa_qqq_82d0f55f1763111849290.png" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />The RSI has slipped to 35, which is low relative to the past six months, though far from the extreme April reading of 14. The Nasdaq 100 also logged a seven-month rally prior to November and remains above October’s highs. The recent pullback is not alarming yet, which is why there is no urgency to buy the dip.On fundamentals, although the government is reopening, the White House said Wednesday that October CPI and nonfarm payrolls may never be released, with priority shifting to November’s reports. The absence of these key figures leaves investors without a clear macro picture. It will take time for government operations to normalize, and markets need time to digest the resulting uncertainty. This is more short-term noise than structural risk.The missing data also complicates the Fed’s December meeting. Chair Powell previously emphasized that there is no urgency to cut rates, citing still-elevated inflation. Yet a December cut may not matter as much as investors assume. A 25-basis-point move is often treated as a symbolic gesture rather than a meaningful economic catalyst. With Powell’s term nearing its end, more easing is expected in 2026 as Trump’s policy outlook carries greater influence. Even if the Fed holds steady in December, it would be a delay rather than a shift away from further easing.The shutdown fallout and the December meeting are short-lived obstacles. The bigger concern for markets is the fear of an AI bubble. Former AI leaders, including Nvidia, AMD, and Broadcom, have all stumbled recently on valuation concerns and &#39;bubble&#39; outlooks. While Amazon, Microsoft, Google, and Meta continue to commit massive AI spending, the slow pace of monetization has yet to justify elevated valuations. Meta’s disappointing results dragged the stock back to its May level as investors questioned the company’s ability to sustain such heavy investment. If monetization fails to accelerate, these companies may be forced to slow spending, pressuring the entire AI ecosystem.Kioxia’s earnings added to the pressure, with guidance coming in well below expectations. However, Kioxia remains heavily tied to Apple’s supply chain, while Micron and Samsung are shifting toward AI-focused memory. Not every chipmaker will be a winner in this next phase of AI demand. As the trend enters a second stage, fewer players will dominate, and the winners will take an outsized share.The AI narrative remains intact. Early monetization is real, and more industries are beginning to integrate AI technology, reinforcing the long-term story. It is far too early to call this a bubble. Even after a 182% rally this year, Micron trades at only 31 times earnings, hardly excessive. A genuine bubble forms when investors unanimously dismiss valuation risk. With skepticism still widespread, this is not peak euphoria.<img data-json="{&quot;id&quot;:&quot;c6abc83c-c7ae-401e-a5f8-b568adfbdf71&quot;,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}],&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/977482d1-31cb-4f38-9b37-efc57e6e32bd_pe_c087c6d21763127833388.jpg&quot;}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/articles/focusnews/coverimage/content/pictures/977482d1-31cb-4f38-9b37-efc57e6e32bd_pe_c087c6d21763127833388.jpg" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" />(MU&#39;s Valuation Multiple)Year-end positioning may also be contributing to the sell-off. After a year of exceptional gains for AI names, the lack of a blockbuster catalyst leaves funds inclined to lock in profits. Doubts over fundamentals and liquidity reinforce that caution.Altogether, the technical landscape suggests the correction may continue, yet investors should not overreact to these headwinds. Government operations will return to normal, the AI-driven economic boom remains intact, and a delayed Fed cut does not alter the longer-term trajectory. While AI-bubble fears are the main source of anxiety, select players will continue to outperform with the macro trend at their back. This stage of the cycle is about alpha selection, not blanket exposure to every AI-related stock.

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Market Struggling and Showing Technical Weakness Amid Reopening, but the 'AI Bubble' Presents an Opportunity

Oracle&#39;s cloud infrastructure (IaaS) revenue <a href="https://investor.oracle.com/investor-news/news-details/2025/Oracle-Announces-Fiscal-2025-Third-Quarter-Financial-Results/default.aspx" target='__blank'>hit $2.7 billion</a> in Q3 2025, a 49% year-over-year increase in USD terms. Combined SaaS and IaaS revenue reached $6.2 billion, driven by robust demand for AI-integrated solutions like its Oracle Database, which now supports models such as OpenAI ChatGPT and Meta Llama. This growth is critical, as traditional license revenue (cloud and on-premise) declined 10% to $1.1 billion, signaling a necessary shift in the company&#39;s revenue mix.<a href="https://investor.oracle.com/investor-news/news-details/2025/Oracle-Announces-Fiscal-2025-Third-Quarter-Financial-Results/default.aspx" target='__blank'></a>However, scaling cloud operations requires significant capital. Oracle plans to double its data center capacity in 2025, with CAPEX for 2025 already reaching $21.2 billion and <a href="https://datacentremagazine.com/news/oracles-data-centre-strategy-cloud-ai-and-more-capacity" target='__blank'>projected to rise to $35 billion</a> in 2026. While such investments are justified by a $130 billion Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) backlog, they also raise questions about near-term margin sustainability.<img data-json="{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://cdn.ainvest.com/aigc/hxcmp/images/compress-qwen_generated_1763125211253.jpg.png&quot;,&quot;children&quot;:[{&quot;text&quot;:&quot;&quot;}]}" src="https://cdn.ainvest.com/aigc/hxcmp/images/compress-qwen_generated_1763125211253.jpg.png" contentEditable="false" style="display: block; margin: 0 auto; maxWidth: 100%" /><h3>Margins: A Fortress or a Mirage?</h3>Oracle&#39;s GAAP operating margin of 31% and non-GAAP margin of 44% in Q3 2025 highlight its ability to convert revenue into profit-a stark contrast to peers like Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN), which often trade at lower margins due to aggressive reinvestment. The company&#39;s free cash flow of $5.8 billion over the past 12 months further reinforces its financial flexibility.Yet, margin preservation in the cloud sector is no guarantee. As Oracle ramps up CAPEX to meet demand, investors must weigh whether these expenditures will yield proportional returns. The company&#39;s operating cash flow of $20.7 billion suggests ample liquidity, but the $35 billion CAPEX target for 2026 could strain cash reserves if cloud revenue growth slows.<visualization data='undefined' dataurl='https://cdn.ainvest.com/news/visual/visual_components/viz_lc38g0oh.json'></visualization><h3>Valuation Realism: A P/E Puzzle</h3>Oracle&#39;s P/E ratio of 49.0 as of November 13, 2025, is <a href="https://fullratio.com/stocks/nyse-orcl/pe-ratio" target='__blank'>77% above its 10-year historical average</a> and <a href="https://fullratio.com/stocks/nyse-orcl/pe-ratio" target='__blank'>59% higher than the Technology sector&#39;s 30.87 average</a>. This premium implies that the market is pricing in sustained high-growth expectations, particularly in AI-driven cloud services. However, such a valuation requires Oracle to consistently outperform on both revenue and margin expansion.For context, Microsoft&#39;s P/E ratio in Q3 2025 was 38.5, while Amazon&#39;s stood at 32.1. Oracle&#39;s premium suggests investors are willing to pay more for its hybrid cloud and AI integration strategy, but this also increases downside risk if execution falters.<h3>Strategic Implications for Investors</h3>Oracle&#39;s Q3 results paint a picture of a company in transition. The cloud growth is undeniable, but the valuation and capital allocation choices demand scrutiny. For the stock to remain a buy, Oracle must:
1. Maintain margin discipline despite rising CAPEX.
2. Accelerate buybacks to align with its strong free cash flow.
3. Deliver on AI-driven differentiation, ensuring its cloud infrastructure remains competitive against AWS and Azure.If Oracle can execute on these fronts, its high valuation may prove justified. However, any missteps in capital allocation or margin erosion could trigger a re-rating.

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