The backtest results show that VALE's stock performance after earnings beats is generally weak, with a 28.57% win rate across 3, 10, and 30 days, and negative average returns, particularly a -1.83% return over 30 days. This suggests that despite earnings beats, VALE does not sustain positive momentum in the near to medium term.

The consistent low win rate and negative returns imply that earnings beats for VALE are not strong indicators of upward price movement. Investors should be cautious when relying solely on earnings surprises for short-term gains.

A more comprehensive analysis including external factors may be needed before investment decisions post earnings beat.

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The backtest results indicate that earnings beats in the Metals & Mining Industry show negligible market impact, with a maximum return of just 0.54% observed within seven days. This suggests that the event does not create a meaningful price reaction or trading opportunity for this sector. Consequently, the data implies limited alpha generation from earnings surprises in this industry, advising investors to avoid overemphasis on such events when making sector allocation decisions.

Backtest VALE earning beats

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