The backtest results show that JPM stock has a 55.56% win rate over 3 days, increasing to 88.89% over 30 days after earnings beats, with a 30-day average return of 4.64%. This indicates a strong positive price reaction that strengthens over time, peaking around 52 days post-event. The data suggests that JPM earnings beats are a reliable indicator of medium-term gains. Investors might consider holding JPM shares for up to a month following an earnings beat to capitalize on the upward momentum.

backtest_data

The backtest results show that JPM experienced a 100% win rate with positive returns of 2.52%, 5.49%, and 10.70% over 3, 10, and 30 days respectively after missing earnings expectations. This indicates a strong and consistent positive price reaction despite the earnings miss. The maximum return of 6.93% was observed 45 days post-event, suggesting a delayed but sustained upward momentum. Investors might consider that JPM's stock tends to rebound and gain after earnings misses, highlighting potential buying opportunities in the aftermath of such events.

The backtest results show that the Banks Industry experienced a modest maximum return of 1.57% occurring 59 days after earnings beat expectations, with an overall negative impact observed. This suggests that despite earnings beats, the sector did not generate strong positive returns in the medium term. The analysis indicates that earnings beats in this industry may not reliably translate into significant price appreciation. Investors should be cautious and consider that positive earnings surprises in the Banks Industry might not lead to substantial gains, highlighting the need for additional factors in investment decisions.

The backtest results show that when the Banks Industry misses earnings expectations, the impact is generally negative with a maximum return decline of 0.11% observed 59 days after the event. This indicates a mild adverse market reaction to earnings misses within this sector over the tested period.

The modest negative return suggests limited downside risk but also restrained upside potential following such events. Investors should be cautious but not overly defensive when banks report earnings below expectations.

Investment strategies might focus on risk management rather than aggressive positioning in the Banks Industry after earnings misses.

Backtest JPM Release Earning Report

Find all upcoming company earnings reports scheduled for oct 13 2026. Get details on which companies are reporting and their expected results.

Calendar