The backtest results show that AIR has a low win rate following earnings beats, with only 37.5% over 3 and 10 days and 25% over 30 days, accompanied by negative average returns in all periods. This indicates that despite earnings beats, AIR's stock tends to underperform shortly after the event. The maximum return observed was modest and occurred late, suggesting limited upside potential. Investors should be cautious about expecting positive price reactions from AIR's earnings beats and consider alternative strategies or additional factors before investing based on this event.

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The backtest results show that AIR's earnings misses led to predominantly negative returns, with a 50% win rate over 3 days, dropping to 0% at 10 days and only 25% at 30 days. The average returns were negative across all periods, notably -6.31% at 10 days, indicating a weak price reaction to earnings misses. This suggests that AIR tends to underperform following earnings disappointments, with limited recovery within a month. Investors should be cautious and consider potential downside risk when AIR reports earnings below expectations.

The backtest results reveal that the Aerospace & Defense Industry experienced a slight negative impact, with a maximum return of -0.44% on the event day following earnings beats. This suggests that despite beating expectations, the industry did not benefit positively in the short term. The analysis indicates that earnings beats in this sector may not translate into immediate stock price gains, possibly due to market skepticism or other overriding factors. Investors should be cautious and consider that positive earnings surprises in Aerospace & Defense might not yield quick returns, warranting a more nuanced investment approach.

The backtest results show that earnings misses in the Aerospace & Defense industry occurred 81 times between 2023 and 2025, with no significant impact on stock returns. The maximum observed return was 4.90% on day 48, indicating a lack of consistent negative or positive price movement following these events. This suggests that earnings misses in this sector do not reliably affect stock performance. Investors might consider that earnings misses in Aerospace & Defense are not strong indicators for trading decisions, and other factors should be prioritized when evaluating investments in this industry.

Backtest AIR Earnings Beats Expectations

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