The backtest results show that AXP has a 66.67% win rate over 3 days, 50.00% over 10 days, and 75.00% over 30 days following an earnings beat, with a 3.89% average return at 30 days. This indicates a generally positive market reaction to AXP's earnings surprises, especially over the longer term. The strongest gains appear after holding for 30 days, suggesting that investors benefit from a medium-term position post-earnings beat. Therefore, a strategy of holding AXP shares for up to a month after an earnings beat may enhance returns.

backtest_data

The backtest results are inconclusive due to the absence of data on AXP's price reaction following the earnings miss. Without specific return or probability metrics, no definitive pattern can be established. This lack of information limits the ability to assess the impact of the earnings miss on AXP's stock performance. Investors should exercise caution and seek additional data or alternative indicators before making decisions based on AXP's earnings misses.

The backtest results show that the Consumer Finance Industry experienced no significant impact following earnings beats, with a maximum return of only 2.05% occurring 56 days after the event. This indicates that earnings beats in this sector do not translate into meaningful price movements or sustained gains. Consequently, investors should be cautious about expecting strong positive returns solely based on earnings beats in the Consumer Finance Industry, as the event does not appear to drive notable market reactions or investment opportunities.

The backtest results show that earnings misses in the Consumer Finance industry had no significant impact, with a maximum return of only 2.56% observed 27 days after the event. This indicates that the industry’s stock prices are largely resilient or indifferent to earnings misses during the tested period.

The lack of notable price movement suggests that investors may not react strongly to earnings misses in this sector, possibly due to other overriding factors or market expectations.

For investors, this implies limited trading opportunities based solely on earnings misses within the Consumer Finance industry.

The backtest results reveal that American Express's earnings beat positively impacted the Transportation Infrastructure industry while negatively affecting Leisure Products over a period of about 50 days. This divergence reflects a shift in consumer spending patterns, favoring sectors linked to increased travel and commerce. The positive market impact underscores the broader economic optimism triggered by the earnings beat.

The analysis suggests that stronger consumer spending and financial health drive demand for payment services and transport infrastructure, whereas Leisure Products may suffer from reduced discretionary spending.

Investors might consider overweighting Transportation Infrastructure and underweighting Leisure Products following such earnings surprises.

backtest_industry_impact_data

Backtest AXP Earnings Beat Expectations

Find all upcoming company earnings reports scheduled for apr 24 2026. Get details on which companies are reporting and their expected results.

Calendar